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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">zldm</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Заводская лаборатория. Диагностика материалов</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Industrial laboratory. Diagnostics of materials</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1028-6861</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2588-0187</issn><publisher><publisher-name>ООО «Издательство «ТЕСТ-ЗЛ»</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.26896/1028-6861-2026-92-1-49-59</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">zldm-2702</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>МЕХАНИКА МАТЕРИАЛА: ПРОЧНОСТЬ, РЕСУРС, БЕЗОПАСНОСТЬ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>MATERIALS MECHANICS: STRENGTH, DURABILITY, SAFETY</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Оценка поврежденности композитного материала на основе модели регрессионного анализа потоковых акустико-эмиссионных параметров</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Assessment of composite material damage based on a regression analysis model of streaming acoustic emission parameters</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Матвиенко</surname><given-names>Ю. Г.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Matvienko</surname><given-names>Yu. G.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Юрий Григорьевич Матвиенко</p><p>101990, Москва, Малый Харитоньевский пер., д. 4</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Yury G. Matvienko</p><p>4, Malyi Kharitonievsky per., Moscow, 101990</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">chernovdv@inbox.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Чернов</surname><given-names>Д. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Chernov</surname><given-names>D. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Дмитрий Витальевич Чернов</p><p>101990, Москва, Малый Харитоньевский пер., д. 4</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Dmitry V. Chernov</p><p>4, Malyi Kharitonievsky per., Moscow</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">chernovdv@inbox.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Баландин</surname><given-names>Т. Д.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Balandin</surname><given-names>T. D.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Тимофей Дмитриевич Баландин</p><p>101990, Москва, Малый Харитоньевский пер., д. 4</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Timofey D. Balandin</p><p>4, Malyi Kharitonievsky per., Moscow, 101990</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Марченков</surname><given-names>А. Ю.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Marchenkov</surname><given-names>A. Yu.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Артём Юрьевич Марченков</p><p>111250, Москва, ул. Красноказарменная, д. 14</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Artem Yu. Marchenkov</p><p>14, Krasnokazarmennaya ul., Moscow, 111250</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Турбин</surname><given-names>Н. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Turbin</surname><given-names>N. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Николай Васильевич Турбин</p><p>111250, Москва, ул. Красноказарменная, д. 14</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Nikolay V. Turbin</p><p>Moscow Aviation Institute (National Research University)</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-3"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Кожевников</surname><given-names>А. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Kojevnikov</surname><given-names>A. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Антон Вадимович Кожевников</p><p>111250, Москва, ул. Красноказарменная, д. 14</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Anton V. Kojevnikov</p><p>14, Krasnokazarmennaya ul., Moscow, 111250</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Институт машиноведения им. А. А. Благонравова Российской академии наук</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Mechanical Engineering Research Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-2"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Национальный исследовательский университет «МЭИ»</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>National Research University «Moscow Power Engineering Institute»</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-3"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Московский авиационный институт (национальный исследовательский университет)</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Moscow Aviation Institute (National Research University)</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2026</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>29</day><month>01</month><year>2026</year></pub-date><volume>92</volume><issue>1</issue><fpage>49</fpage><lpage>59</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Матвиенко Ю.Г., Чернов Д.В., Баландин Т.Д., Марченков А.Ю., Турбин Н.В., Кожевников А.В., 2026</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2026</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Матвиенко Ю.Г., Чернов Д.В., Баландин Т.Д., Марченков А.Ю., Турбин Н.В., Кожевников А.В.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Matvienko Y.G., Chernov D.V., Balandin T.D., Marchenkov A.Y., Turbin N.V., Kojevnikov A.V.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.zldm.ru/jour/article/view/2702">https://www.zldm.ru/jour/article/view/2702</self-uri><abstract><p>Представлена методика акустико-эмиссионного (АЭ) мониторинга степени поврежденности композитных материалов, инвариантной к влиянию механического ударного воздействия. В процессе ее разработки использовали алгоритмы регрессионного и статистического анализа, позволяющие определить нелинейные закономерности между степенью поврежденности композитных образцов (j) и значениями потоковых АЭ-параметров. В качестве наиболее информативных АЭ-параметров, коррелирующих с фактическим состоянием контролируемых изделий, выбраны значения квантилей уровня p = 0,9 функций распределения энергии переднего фронта ([Eφ]p = 0,9) и удельной энергии ([EN]p = 0,9) импульсов АЭ. Одним из основных этапов применения разработанной методики является разделение критериальной плоскости [EN]p = 0,9 – [Eφ]p = 0,9 на три характерных сегмента (I, II, III). По значениям потоковых параметров и их весового содержания в сегментах I, II, III (WI, WII, WIII) проведен синтез регрессионной модели, позволяющей оценить степень поврежденности композитных образцов по результатам АЭ-мониторинга. Максимальная приведенная погрешность разработанной модели составила γ = 9,8 %, при этом ее среднее значение не превышало 1,1 % независимо от исходного состояния контролируемых изделий.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The aim of this study is to develop an acoustic emission (AE) monitoring methodology that is invariant to the mechanical impact influence. To achieve this objective, regression and statistical analysis algorithms were employed to identify nonlinear relationships between the degree of damage in composite specimens (j) and the values of streaming AE parameters. As the most informative AE parameters correlating with the actual condition of the monitored specimens, the quantile values at the p = 0.9 level of the distribution functions of the front energy ([Eφ]p = 0.9) and specific energy ([EN]p = 0.9) of AE pulses were selected. A key stage in the implementation of the proposed methodology involves partitioning the criterion plane ([EN]p = 0.9 – [Eφ]p = 0.9) into three characteristic segments (I, II, III). Based on the values of the streaming parameters and their weighted distribution across segments I, II, and III (WI, WII, WIII), a regression model was synthesized to assess the degree of damage in composite specimens using AE monitoring results. The maximum reduced error of the developed model was γ = 9.8%, while the mean relative error did not exceed 1.1%, regardless of the initial condition of the monitored specimens.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>композиционные материалы</kwd><kwd>акустическая эмиссия</kwd><kwd>степень поврежденности</kwd><kwd>нелинейная регрессия</kwd><kwd>статистический</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>composite materials</kwd><kwd>acoustic emission</kwd><kwd>degree of damage</kwd><kwd>nonlinear regression</kwd><kwd>statistical analysis</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Deo R. B., Starnes J. H., Holzwarth R. C. Low-cost composite materials and structures for aircraft applications / Low Cost Composite Structures: Proc. of the RTO AVT Specialists’ Meeting, Loen, Norway, 7 – 11 May, 2001. Published in RTO-MP-069(II). 2003. 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